Knobby-Stacking
0xffded8483ce024dc514fe9a956850afce2996672
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$64.88
Total PnL
$-6.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
1 shares @ 67.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks
1 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$1.00Mar 13, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Mavericks$1.00Mar 13, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Pistons$1.00Mar 13, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in March?$12.00Mar 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$2.00Mar 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$1.00Mar 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?$1.00Mar 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.00Mar 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Mar 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Mar 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 13, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $151.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.