Necessary-Gearshift
0xffe033df14f69aa5dfa49ef24d79564f92e92133
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$5.49
Total PnL
$-199.36
Realised
$-41.18
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.13
$0.17
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.88
$-0.28
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
8888 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-26.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 24?
444 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?
111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
75 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-37.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 28?
69 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
56 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?
44 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.50May 10, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.50May 10, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.19May 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.98May 9, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 9, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.00May 2, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.99May 2, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$30.69May 2, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00May 2, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$33.00May 2, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$12.47May 2, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$18.55May 2, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00May 2, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.85May 2, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.00May 2, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$4.27May 2, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$31.59May 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$30.22May 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$11.18May 2, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.11May 2, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.