Apprehensive-Greatgrandfather
0xffe58ef324dc487932e8505735cf72082b5e9a51
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,900 on September 19?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
39 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4600 and $4700 on August 29 at 4PM ET?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25?
7 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 8, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 8, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 26, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 26, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,900 on September 19?$1.00Sep 18, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.33Sep 18, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $4400 on August 29 at 4PM ET?$4.38Aug 29, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4600 and $4700 on August 29 at 4PM ET?$1.00Aug 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $4400 on August 29 at 4PM ET?$2.00Aug 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$1.00Aug 25, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Aug 25, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 25?$6.25Aug 25, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 25?$2.00Aug 24, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 25?$2.00Aug 24, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 23?$1.00Aug 23, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.