Assured-Change
0xffef0cea6e5033ac5289acb08733f3993316dabf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-12.60
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- CCG ESPORTS
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
375 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$374.81
$194.81
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
419 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$358.25
$35.62
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
253 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$208.72
$44.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
246 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.26
$14.76
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
190 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$178.60
$13.30
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
156 shares @ 88.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.76
$11.23
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
177 shares @ 65.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$144.24
$29.19
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
378 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$137.97
$-5.67
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
218 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$136.25
$7.63
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
190 shares @ 64.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$135.85
$14.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$200.00Jun 5, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$200.00Jun 5, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros$91.00Jun 5, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros$56.16Jun 5, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$130.73Jun 5, 00:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.20Jun 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$141.31Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$71.36Jun 4, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)$43.88Jun 4, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMTyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu$192.00Jun 4, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees$8.00Jun 4, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$400.00Jun 4, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$55.48Jun 4, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies$133.35Jun 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu$40.56Jun 4, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana$237.99Jun 4, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMakarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkova$162.40Jun 4, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$19.46Jun 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?$4.87Jun 4, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMCenturion 2: Alexander Donski vs Edward Winter$604.97Jun 4, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $60.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 04:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".