Several-Club
0xfff11a2f19ef151204e0300a018f3751a2da5e20
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.07
Total PnL
$-235.41
Realised
$6.41
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will Jed Cochran be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.07
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 29?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 30?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?
143 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 25?
124 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 15?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.77Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?$0.15Jun 30, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?$0.60Jun 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 1?$0.63Jun 30, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$0.91Jun 30, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?$4.81Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 1?$2.11Jun 30, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 1?$0.79Jun 30, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?$0.71Jun 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?$1.19Jun 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?$2.86Jun 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?$1.40Jun 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 30?$0.02Jun 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 30?$0.00Jun 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 30?$0.03Jun 30, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 30?$0.11Jun 30, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 30?$0.04Jun 30, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 30?$0.02Jun 30, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 30?$0.00Jun 30, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 30?$0.03Jun 30, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.