Tight-Transition
0xfff2a0fb32d9c5e8a6657193e266e2c5ab7b90b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-834.51
Realised
$-2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
400 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-73.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
52 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.66
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
40 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
39 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
39 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
39 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
25 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$2.31May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$2.44May 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.75May 17, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.00May 16, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3.80May 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$2.50May 16, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.00May 16, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.50May 16, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.65May 16, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.00May 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.68May 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.69May 15, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?$5.00May 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?$4.83May 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?$4.89May 15, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?$5.00May 15, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 14?$5.00May 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 14?$4.84May 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?$4.76May 14, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5$5.00May 14, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.