Orrery Pulse

Today's shareable market intelligence

A public snapshot built for links, chats, newsletters, and team threads: what moved, what matters, and what to verify next.

2026-05-20 UTCBrief RSS
Markets scanned
100
Mover volume
$1.8M
Observations
5
Verify next
6
updated 20:47:18 UTC·src:Polymarket Gamma·Polymarket Data·snap:snap_2026-05-20T20-47Z

Move cards

The fastest shareable artifact: one market, one move, one verification next step.

Open full brief

Move card 1

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Now
35¢
24h
-28.0pp
Volume
$216.1K

Shareable interpretation: large move on public market data. Verify the event source before treating price as outcome.

Move card 2

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Now
18¢
24h
-19.5pp
Volume
$681.0K

Shareable interpretation: large move on public market data. Verify the event source before treating price as outcome.

Move card 3

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Now
31¢
24h
-16.5pp
Volume
$374.0K

Shareable interpretation: large move on public market data. Verify the event source before treating price as outcome.

Move card 4

Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
Now
67¢
24h
+15.0pp
Volume
$303.0K

Shareable interpretation: large move on public market data. Verify the event source before treating price as outcome.

Move card 5

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Now
51¢
24h
+12.0pp
Volume
$221.5K

Shareable interpretation: large move on public market data. Verify the event source before treating price as outcome.

Resolution warnings

The Orrery-native viral format: price is not settlement.

Open resolution watch
Past expiryChicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5

Event window passed, but settlement is still pending upstream.

Verify sourceAlert
Past expirySC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score

Event window passed, but settlement is still pending upstream.

Verify sourceAlert
Past expiryUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Event window passed, but settlement is still pending upstream.

Verify sourceAlert
Resolves soonIran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 00:00 UTC - verify source before treating price as outcome.

Verify sourceAlert
Resolves soonDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends May 21, 00:00 UTC - verify source before treating price as outcome.

Verify sourceAlert
Resolves soonGolden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends May 21, 00:00 UTC - verify source before treating price as outcome.

Verify sourceAlert

Research observations

High evidence stays framed as research. No buy/sell language, no alpha claims.

Open signals

momentum

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
evidence high
backtest mixedWatch only-19.5pp

momentum

Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann
evidence high
backtest mixedWatch only+11.0pp

momentum

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
evidence high
backtest mixedWatch only-16.5pp

momentum

Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
evidence high
backtest mixedWatch only+15.0pp