Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
3 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings1Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
3Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Knicks vs. Spurs
Resolves in 7h — verify the source
Verify
5Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Resolves in 3h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio CobolliHIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
50% 18.0pp
24h volume
$3.2M
Verification targetHistory unavailable
100%75%50%25%0%
Price history unavailable
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
18.0pp24h move$3.2M24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio CobolliQueue proof
24h Δ 18.0pp, 1h Δ 16.0pp · Turnover 1.6× liquidity
2Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.2× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 4.2× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
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High
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Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?UMA PENDING
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 90/100 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 74/97 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 74/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? probability up 21.9pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli shows a momentum pattern at 90% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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