Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Resolves in 25h — verify the source
Verify
Resolves in 5h — verify the source
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper RuudUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
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—
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 82/88 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 85/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 81/88 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 81/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 76/77 94/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
Read full brief - Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? probability down 9.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 85% evidence — verify on the market.
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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