High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings1Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
2Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
5Knicks vs. Spurs
Resolves in 8h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
89% 38.5pp
24h volume
$220.3K
Verification targetHistory unavailable
100%75%50%25%0%
Price history unavailable
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
38.5pp24h move$220.3K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro MidonQueue proof
24h Δ 38.5pp, 1h Δ 71.0pp · Turnover 4.1× liquidity
2Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 4.2× liquidity
3Open
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
24h Δ 3.0pp, 1h Δ 2.0pp · Turnover 4.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 95/79 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 71/95 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 74/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 73 | 53/94 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon probability up 38.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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