High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Resolves in 9h — verify the source
Verify
3US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Resolves in 9h — verify the source
Verify
4Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Resolves in 9h — verify the source
Verify
5Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
Resolves in 1h — verify the source
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila OsorioHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
81% 29.0pp
24h volume
$399.9K
Orrery Pulse38% current36-48% 7D range-7.5pp net move
51%46%42%37%33%
38%
May 3038%-7.5pp from start
May 23May 24May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila OsorioTop read
24h Δ 29.0pp, 1h Δ 2.0pp · Turnover 6.3× liquidity
2Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.9× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
24h Δ -9.5pp, 1h Δ -1.5pp · Turnover 1.4× liquidity
4Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
24h Δ -10.5pp, 1h Δ -0.5pp · Turnover 1.0× liquidity
5Open
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana
24h Δ -6.0pp, 1h Δ -20.0pp · Turnover 26.0× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)UMA PENDING
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 91/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 86/91 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 81/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 83/92 60/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 30, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio probability up 29.0pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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