High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Resolves in 58h — verify the source
Verify
3Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?
Resolves in 2h — verify the source
Verify
4Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Momentum observation
Momentum
5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open 2Open 3Open 4Open 5Open 6Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloTop read
24h Δ -73.3pp, 1h Δ -36.4pp · Turnover 40.6× liquidity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -29.5pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 7.3× liquidity
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
24h Δ -59.0pp, 1h Δ -42.0pp · Turnover 6.8× liquidity
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
24h Δ 12.7pp, 1h Δ 1.9pp · Turnover 8.4× liquidity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
24h Δ -11.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.3× liquidity
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame
24h Δ -7.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 12.7× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2UMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/80 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/84 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/77 88/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 87/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 28, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo probability down 73.3pp on $2.5M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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