Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Probability
66¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
+10.0pp
24h Vol
$26.8K
Liquidity
$44.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+21.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1036.1h
- 19:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1036h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 19:50PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 66¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 68¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 67¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 68¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYHAMISH STEWART4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- SELLOVER4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- SELLNO4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
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Market Description
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).