High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Resolves in 6h — verify the source
Verify
4Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5
Resolves in 4h — verify the source
Verify
5Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances TiafoeHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
82% 44.0pp
24h volume
$1.1M
Orrery Pulse83% current37-83% 7D range+32.5pp net move
91%75%60%44%28%
83%
May 3083%+32.5pp from start
May 28May 29May 29May 29May 29May 30May 30May 30
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances TiafoeTop read
24h Δ 44.0pp, 1h Δ 17.0pp · Turnover 11.5× liquidity
3Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -16.5pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 5.8× liquidity
5Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -7.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.8× liquidity
6Open
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima
24h Δ 6.0pp, 1h Δ 7.0pp · Turnover 2.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?UMA PENDING
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
World Championships: Canada vs. FinlandUMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten ChampionUMA PENDING
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxPINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 82/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 30, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe probability up 44.0pp on $1.1M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
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