UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion
Probability
56¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 18.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 850.4h
- 13:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 55¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 55¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League champion goes unbeaten in every match during the Knockout Stages of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss during any match in any stage of the Knockout Stages. The “Knockout Stages” include every match starting with the Knockout Play-Offs carrying each round of matches through, and including, the Champions League Final. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and a team is confirmed as unbeaten through the completed matches prior to cancellation or postponement, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/fixtures-results/bracket/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).