Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
55% 7.0pp
24h volume
$350.7K
Orrery Pulse50% current49-51% 7D range+0.0pp net move
59%54%50%46%42%
50%
May 1850%+0.0pp from start
May 12May 12May 13May 14May 15May 16May 17May 18
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesPAST EVENT
—
New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsPAST EVENT
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysPAST EVENT
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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsPAST EVENT
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersPAST EVENT
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—
Spurs vs. ThunderPAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-6.5)PAST EVENT
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5PAST EVENT
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—
Canadiens vs. SabresPAST EVENT
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Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5PAST EVENT
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—
—
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 85/73 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 78 | 74/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 74/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 71 | 52/89 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 19, 2026
Read full brief - Today's brief is still being assembled — visit the full brief for the latest probability moves, unusual volume, and resolution risk.
VERIFY (0)
- No high-evidence observations today
IGNORE (0)
- —
RISK INCREASED (0)
- No new resolution risks
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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