High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Resolves in 5h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Resolves in 3h — verify the source
Verify
4Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
5US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
77% 36.0pp
24h volume
$614.8K
Orrery Pulse90% current22-90% 7D range+39.5pp net move
100%77%54%31%8%
90%
May 3090%+39.5pp from start
May 24May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 29May 30
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances TiafoeTop read
24h Δ 45.0pp, 1h Δ 1.0pp · Turnover 23.9× liquidity
3Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -12.5pp, 1h Δ -0.5pp · Turnover 5.6× liquidity
5Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -7.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.6× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
World Championships: Canada vs. FinlandUMA PENDING
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsUMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
T20 Blast: Sussex vs MiddlesexUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5UMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/80 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 76/84 98/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 30, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe probability up 45.0pp on $1.4M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
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