High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
3 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings1Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
2Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Resolves in 6h — verify the source
Verify
5Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
48% 4.0pp
24h volume
$613.5K
Verification target6% current3-47% 7D range+3.6pp net move
60%45%30%15%0%
6%
Jun 56%+3.6pp from start
May 29May 30May 31Jun 1Jun 2Jun 3Jun 4Jun 5
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
4.0pp24h move$613.5K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro MidonQueue proof
24h Δ 46.5pp, 1h Δ 66.0pp · Turnover 5.6× liquidity
2Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 4.2× liquidity
3Open
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
24h Δ 3.0pp, 1h Δ 2.0pp · Turnover 4.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 95/77 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 71/95 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 74/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon probability up 46.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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