Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 83/94 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 83 | 82/88 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 83 | 82/87 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 82 | 81/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 80/82 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 23, 2026
Read full brief - Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 15.0pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? shows a divergence pattern at 83% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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