Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
1 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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MARKET PULSE
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
20% 15.0pp
24h volume
$407.7K
Orrery Pulse20% current20-77% 7D range-20.5pp net move
87%67%48%29%9%
20%
May 2120%-20.5pp from start
May 14May 15May 16May 17May 18May 19May 20May 21
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado RockiesUMA PENDING
High
High
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsPAST EVENT
—
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsPAST EVENT
—
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersPAST EVENT
—
—
Spurs vs. ThunderPAST EVENT
—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)PAST EVENT
—
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5PAST EVENT
—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)PAST EVENT
—
—
Golden Knights vs. AvalanchePAST EVENT
—
—
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
Read full brief - Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? probability down 26.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? resolves in 24h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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