Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Open Detail and read the resolution source before acting1Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
2Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 30h — verify the source
Verify
3Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
4Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 30h — verify the source
Verify
5Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Momentum observation
Momentum
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?HIGH EVIDENCE
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
64% 25.1pp
24h volume
$241.3K
Verification target50% current50-50% 7D range+0.0pp net move
59%54%50%46%42%
50%
Jun 550%+0.0pp from start
Jun 4Jun 4Jun 4Jun 4Jun 5Jun 5Jun 5Jun 5
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
25.1pp24h move$241.3K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Queue proof
24h Δ 25.1pp, 1h Δ 3.2pp · Turnover 5.5× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.1× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/77 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 74/97 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 80/80 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 71 | 56/84 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? probability up 25.1pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
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