High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
3US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Resolves in 33h — verify the source
Verify
4Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
14% 19.0pp
24h volume
$1.7M
Orrery Pulse0% current0-50% 7D range-24.4pp net move
68%51%34%17%0%
0%
May 290%-24.4pp from start
May 23May 24May 25May 26May 27May 27May 28May 29
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak DjokovicTop read
24h Δ -19.0pp, 1h Δ -20.0pp · Turnover 23.8× liquidity
2Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -12.5pp, 1h Δ -2.0pp · Turnover 9.8× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -12.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 3.9× liquidity
4Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 12.8pp, 1h Δ 0.3pp · Turnover 1.6× liquidity
5Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
24h Δ -7.5pp, 1h Δ -0.5pp · Turnover 2.0× liquidity
6Open
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
24h Δ 6.0pp, 1h Δ 2.0pp · Turnover 4.2× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
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Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 91/93 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 86/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 29, 2026
Read full brief - Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic probability down 19.0pp on $1.7M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
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