Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings1Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 32h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
3Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 32h — verify the source
Verify
4Knicks vs. Spurs
Resolves in 8h — verify the source
Verify
5Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Resolves in 4h — verify the source
Verify
Implied probability
34% 2.0pp
24h volume
$749.6K
Verification target25% current25-53% 7D range-25.5pp net move
58%48%39%29%19%
25%
Jun 525%-25.5pp from start
May 31Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2Jun 3Jun 4Jun 5Jun 5
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
2.0pp24h move$749.6K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals No evidence actions
Signals are quiet in this snapshot. The feed will fill when movement, flow, or divergence clears the evidence threshold.
Open signalsRESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya AstakhovaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue Opportunity queue is empty
No market currently has enough evidence plus liquidity to enter the ranked queue.
Open opportunitiesScore = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? probability down 3.0pp on $1.2M of 24h volume.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (0)
- No high-evidence observations today
WATCHLIST DELTA
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