High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue Recommended next check
Start here: Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings1Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
2Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Resolves in 31h — verify the source
Verify
5Knicks vs. Spurs
Resolves in 8h — verify the source
Verify
ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
Active target: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
89% 38.5pp
24h volume
$220.3K
Verification target0% current0-2% 7D range-1.0pp net move
17%13%9%4%0%
0%
Jun 20%-1.0pp from start
Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2
WHY THIS IS ACTIVE
Orrery is prioritizing this market because price movement, volume, and evidence context make it worth checking before reading the price as information.
38.5pp24h move$220.3K24h volumeVerifysource and settlement path
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro MidonQueue proof
24h Δ 38.5pp, 1h Δ 71.0pp · Turnover 4.1× liquidity
2Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
24h Δ -4.0pp, 1h Δ -3.0pp · Turnover 4.2× liquidity
3Open
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
24h Δ 3.0pp, 1h Δ 2.0pp · Turnover 4.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio NavaUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 95/79 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 71/95 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 74/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 73 | 53/94 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 5, 2026
Read full brief - Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon probability up 38.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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