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Geopolitics prediction markets

Geopolitics markets — wars, ceasefires, sanctions, treaties, summits. Ranked by 24h volume.

30 live
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Gamma

Top Geopolitics markets · 24h volume

30
MarketProbΔ24hVol 24hLiq
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?0¢-0.1pp$11.9M$15.0M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?3¢-7.6pp$2.0M$724.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?1¢-1.4pp$1.3M$693.8K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?31¢-33.5pp$976.4K$65.8K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?6¢-44.1pp$831.8K$26.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?0¢-0.2pp$778.7K$4.2M
Hurricanes vs. Senators56¢+1.0pp$729.7K$217.6K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?2¢-30.9pp$716.7K$61.7K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?0¢-7.9pp$709.4K$195.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?4¢+0.9pp$691.1K$326.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?29¢-11.5pp$594.0K$259.7K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?4¢-6.3pp$492.1K$289.7K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?14¢-42.5pp$475.3K$29.0K
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)29¢-1.5pp$369.6K$39.6K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?21¢-26.0pp$363.2K$54.7K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?7¢-0.1pp$335.5K$979.7K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?21¢-38.5pp$314.5K$28.3K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?3¢-0.4pp$303.2K$207.4K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?35¢+3.0pp$286.3K$325.7K
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?0¢-0.5pp$226.0K$318.5K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?13¢-8.5pp$214.1K$76.4K
Iran leadership change by April 30?3¢-2.6pp$211.1K$95.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?9¢+1.0pp$190.3K$646.5K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?34¢-6.0pp$189.7K$174.3K
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0¢0.0pp$170.8K$4.0M
Will Trump visit China by April 30?0¢-0.2pp$162.8K$678.1K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?50¢-31.0pp$148.6K$48.7K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?1¢+0.1pp$136.6K$140.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?14¢-5.0pp$134.4K$125.9K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?45¢-9.5pp$130.5K$197.5K

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