Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?
1 markets in this event family · $524.7K 24h volume · $410.3K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$524.6K
1 markets · liq $410.3K
48.4pp
Mean |24h move|
1
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
1
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
Verify resolution before treating any move as news. Use /api/x402/v1/markets/{slug}/resolution-risk for the full extraction.
All markets in this cluster
1| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4? | 100¢ | +48.4 | $524.6K | $410.3K |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.