Event

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

24 markets in this event family · $0.00 24h volume · $0.00 liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.

Historical event archiveClosed event cluster

Orrery restored Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) from Polymarket's archived event records. Use this page for source and resolution context; verify each market's official settlement before citing an outcome.

Status methodology →
PoliticsDec 31, 2026advancing 1 · declining 4
24h volume

$0.00

24 markets · liq $0.00

Avg volatility

0.0pp

Mean |24h move|

Top movers

0

Markets ≥5pp 24h

Large-trade flow

$0.00

0 trades ≥$5k

Source-risk

0

Active UMA dispute / pending

Resolving <24h

0

Settlement positioning risk

Top mover · 24h

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
100¢+0.4pp 24hVol $0.00 · Liq $0.00

All markets in this cluster

24

About this event

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.