US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1 markets in this event family · $307.3K 24h volume · $190.0K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
$311.1K
1 markets · liq $191.4K
3.0pp
Mean |24h move|
0
Markets ≥5pp 24h
$0.00
0 trades ≥$5k
0
Active UMA dispute / pending
0
Settlement positioning risk
All markets in this cluster
1| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 34¢ | -3.0 | $311.1K | $191.4K |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.