Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 markets in this event family · $335.5K 24h volume · $979.7K liquidity. Share the URL anywhere — the rich preview card shows the cluster's biggest mover with one glance.
Markets in cluster
1
Advancing
0
Declining
1
Avg 24h move
0.1pp
All markets in this cluster
1| Market | Prob | Δ24h | Vol | Liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 7¢ | -0.1pp | $335.5K | $979.7K |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.