Election Heat Index
Politics + election market activity. US races, party primaries, electoral-college markets, candidate-resignation odds.
Today
Across 17 live markets · 24h volume $4.1M
Move
66
Volume
8
Resolution
0
What's driving this
5Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
PoliticsVol $510.0K61¢
+24.0Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
PoliticsVol $525.5K3¢
-14.8Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
PoliticsVol $146.9K36¢
-7.1Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
PoliticsVol $74.6K70¢
+3.0Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
PoliticsVol $78.9K3¢
-2.1
How this score is built
score = 0.5 × 66 (move component) + 0.3 × 8 (volume component) + 0.2 × 0 (resolution-pressure component) = 36
Each axis is normalised against a hand-tuned ceiling so scores stay 0-100 and comparable across indexes. The page revalidates every 30 minutes from public Polymarket data — once a persistent snapshot store lands we'll add day-over-day deltas and an archive page.