Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$245.70
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5532h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 63.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5531.9h
- 16:04SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5532h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 51¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 48¢0.0pp
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Junior win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Universidad Católica win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 40¢-1.7pp
Will Boca Juniors win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Rosario Central win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Peñarol win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Santa Fe win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 3¢+2.5pp
Will Nacional win Copa Libertadores?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 99¢+40.9pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 98¢+39.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 2¢-1.2pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+35.4pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (63.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).