Loading shell…
OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$820.54

Liquidity

$878.82

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $879 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 8h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 01:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 8.4h

    HIGH
  • 16:36Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-04-25: If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to "Bakersfield Condors". If Coachella Valley Firebirds win, the market will resolve to "Coachella Valley Firebirds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://theahl.com/stats/schedule
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).