AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marlies
Probability
6¢
1h
-16.0pp
24h
-47.0pp
24h Vol
$491.11
Liquidity
$33.93
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 47pp over 24h
Now 6¢; -16.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:34SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 20:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
-47.0pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Biggest hourly move: -44.0pp at 21:00 (to 6¢).
Show top 8 of 21 hourly moves
- 21:00 · -44.0pp → 6¢
- 11:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
- 10:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
- 09:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
- 07:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
- 05:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
- 04:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-05-03: If Laval Rocket win, the market will resolve to "Laval Rocket". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Alerts
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