QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Probability
8¢
1h
+2.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$2.1K
Liquidity
$24.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-45.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $24.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 106.2h
- 13:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 5¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 5¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 5¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 6¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 7¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 7¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 8¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 9¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 9¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 8¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 8¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.5pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892). This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count. An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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