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OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Probability

1h

+2.5pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$2.1K

Liquidity

$24.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-45.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $24.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 106.2h

    LOW
  • 13:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
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    to 5¢

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    to 5¢

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    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 5¢

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    to 5¢

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    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 6¢

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    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 7¢

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    to 7¢

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    to 8¢

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    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 9¢

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    to 9¢

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    to 8¢

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    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 8¢

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    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 9¢

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    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 10¢

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    to 10¢

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    to 11¢

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    to 11¢

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    to 11¢

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    Probability down -32.0pp

    to 11¢

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    to 12¢

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    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -32.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892). This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count. An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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