AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Toronto Marlies
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+47.9pp
24h Vol
$2.0K
Liquidity
$33.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 48pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:03SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 23:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 4h ago
Price movement
+47.9pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +50.0pp at 03:00 (to 100¢).
Show 4 hourly moves
- 03:00 · +50.0pp → 100¢
- 01:00 · +48.0pp → 96¢
- 00:00 · +18.0pp → 68¢
- 22:00 · -3.0pp → 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-05-05: If Laval Rocket win, the market will resolve to "Laval Rocket". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Alerts
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