AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Providence Bruins
Probability
39¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$112.78
Liquidity
$891.04
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 39¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $891 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarybased on the final score including any overtime periods and shootoutsLinkTypeAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:05ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.5h
- 21:35SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.
Biggest hourly move: -15.0pp at 07:00 (to 35¢).
Show top 8 of 25 hourly moves
- 11:00 · -14.0pp → 36¢
- 10:00 · -14.0pp → 36¢
- 09:00 · -14.0pp → 36¢
- 07:00 · -15.0pp → 35¢
- 05:00 · -13.5pp → 37¢
- 04:00 · -13.5pp → 37¢
- 03:00 · -13.5pp → 37¢
- 01:00 · -13.5pp → 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-05-03: If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds". If Providence Bruins win, the market will resolve to "Providence Bruins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.