SportsExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Probability

40¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$155.49

Liquidity

$20.4K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00May 1, 2026, 03:22
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 49h.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 49 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 48.6h

    HIGH
  • 03:22Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 49h.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

Biggest hourly move: -10.5pp at 01:00 (to 40¢).

Show top 8 of 19 hourly moves
  • 03:00 · -6.0pp → 40¢
  • 01:00 · -10.5pp → 40¢
  • 05:00 · -6.5pp → 40¢
  • 1d ago · -9.5pp → 42¢
  • 1d ago · -10.0pp → 42¢
  • 1d ago · -9.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · -9.0pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · -9.5pp → 42¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:00AM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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