Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-31.3pp
24h Vol
$71.80
Liquidity
$9.78
Probability (last 7 days)
-32.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 31pp over 24h
Now 14¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 25.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 14¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 14¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.4pp
to 14¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 50¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 45¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
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Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
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Market Description
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for March 6 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Barracas Central" if CA Barracas Central win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CA Banfield". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligaprofesional.ar. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ligaprofesional.ar/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (25.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).