Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-03-07?
Probability
50¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$101.79
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 50¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 52.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 20:14SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: -12.0pp at 3d ago (to 47¢).
Show all 47 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +6.0pp → 53¢
- 19:00 · +6.0pp → 53¢
- 17:00 · +6.0pp → 53¢
- 16:00 · +6.5pp → 53¢
- 15:00 · +6.0pp → 53¢
- 13:00 · +5.5pp → 53¢
- 12:00 · +6.0pp → 53¢
- 10:00 · +6.0pp → 53¢
- 09:00 · +6.0pp → 53¢
- 07:00 · +8.5pp → 55¢
- 05:00 · -5.0pp → 47¢
- 03:00 · -7.0pp → 47¢
- 02:00 · -8.0pp → 47¢
- 00:00 · -9.5pp → 47¢
- 23:00 · -8.5pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +7.5pp → 57¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 43¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · -12.0pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 52¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 53¢
- 3d ago · +5.5pp → 54¢
- 3d ago · +6.5pp → 55¢
- 3d ago · +8.0pp → 56¢
- 3d ago · +8.0pp → 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 7, 2026 If CA Belgrano wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (52.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.