UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Mar 7, 2026
Creator

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07?

Probability

2¢

1h

-9.5pp

24h

-26.0pp

24h Vol

$58.6K

Liquidity

$8.4K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
afa.com.ar
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-44.5pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 00:00May 2, 2026, 23:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 26pp over 24h

    Now 2¢; -9.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 7.0× turnover

    $58.6k traded against $8.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $8.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Price movement

-26.0pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.

Biggest hourly move: -24.5pp at 23:00 (to 7¢).

Show top 8 of 56 hourly moves
  • 23:00 · -24.5pp → 7¢
  • 2d ago · -19.0pp → 31¢
  • 4d ago · -20.5pp → 32¢
  • 4d ago · -18.0pp → 28¢
  • 4d ago · -18.0pp → 28¢
  • 4d ago · -18.0pp → 28¢
  • 4d ago · -18.0pp → 28¢
  • 4d ago · -17.5pp → 29¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventCA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente
Category · Other

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 7, 2026 If CA San Lorenzo de Almagro wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket