Santos: Valerio Aboian vs Pedro Sakamoto
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+7.0pp
24h Vol
$6.1K
Liquidity
$77.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $6.1k traded against $77.6k of visible liquidity (0.08× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 46¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 160.9h
Price movement
+7.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Pedro Sakamoto in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Pedro Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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