Aboian vs. Sakamoto: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Probability
71¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+21.0pp
24h Vol
$10.99
Liquidity
$826.63
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 21pp over 24h
Now 71¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $827 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 66¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 160.9h
Price movement
+21.0pp over the last 24h, now 71¢.
Biggest hourly move: +21.0pp at 18:00 (to 71¢).
Show 3 hourly moves
- 20:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
- 19:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
- 18:00 · +21.0pp → 71¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Pedro Sakamoto in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Alerts
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