Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Henry Bernet
Probability
94¢
1h
+36.0pp
24h
+28.0pp
24h Vol
$38.2K
Liquidity
$135.9K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 28pp over 24h
Now 94¢; +36.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 28.0pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 89¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 138.1h
- 13:56SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 28.0pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
Price movement
+28.0pp over the last 24h, now 94¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Henry Bernet in the Francavilla, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Henry Bernet. This market will resolve to 'Henry Bernet' if Henry Bernet advances against Facundo Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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