Aix en Provence: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Tabilo

• 01
  Price move

  Down 25pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; -23.4pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Momentum signal firing

  Probability moved down 24.9pp in 24h with 1.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 03
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

• 04
  UMA status

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Alejandro Tabilo in the Aix en Provence, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.