UnclassifiedExpires May 12, 2026
Creator

Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon

Probability

93¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$33.7K

Liquidity

$3.4K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official ATP Tour data
Link
atptour.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 5, 2026, 11:00May 6, 2026, 01:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-06T01-56Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 9.9× turnover

    $33.7k traded against $3.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 161.1h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 93¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventBrazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon
Category · Other

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Adrian Arcon in the Brazzaville, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Adrian Arcon. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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