Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Tsitsipas
Probability
55¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+8.0pp
24h Vol
$2.1K
Liquidity
$9.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 149.1h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bublik” if Alexander Bublik wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tsitsipas” if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
7 wallets- Milky-Living2.1K