Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Andrea Pellegrino
Probability
100¢
1h
+63.6pp
24h
+25.4pp
24h Vol
$280.3K
Liquidity
$136.7K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Up 25pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +63.6pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 2.1× turnover
$280.3k traded against $136.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 25.4pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
- 05UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 162.3h
- 19:12SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 25.4pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 19:12SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
+25.4pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Andrea Pellegrino in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Andrea Pellegrino. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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