Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmann
Probability
100¢
1h
+3.5pp
24h
+26.5pp
24h Vol
$332.9K
Liquidity
$301.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.7h
- 11:17SignalHIGH
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 26.5pp in 24h with 1.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 11:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Yannick Hanfmann in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Yannick Hanfmann. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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