Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$8.5K
Liquidity
$41.1K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dResolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- Jun 7, 09:00 UTCScheduled resolutionLOW
Market resolves in 146.1h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 87¢+1.0
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda
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Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda
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- 76¢+0.5
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Svajda
Sports · Vol $1.0K
- 45¢+6.5
Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5
Sports · Vol $2.8K
- 48¢+0.5
Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Sports · Vol $1.6K
- 32¢-9.5
Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 38.5
Sports · Vol $74.04
- 72¢+2.5
Cobolli vs. Svajda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Sports · Vol $1.2K
- 17¢+0.5
Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 4.5
Sports · Vol $568.23
- 0¢0.0
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Zachary Svajda in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cobolli" if Flavio Cobolli wins by 3 or more sets than Zachary Svajda, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Svajda." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
roland garrosReason
Roland Garros — Sports.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)"?
As of Mon, 01 Jun 2026 06:52:11 GMT, YES is priced at 50% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by Jun 7, 2026 (2026-06-07T09:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$8.5K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $8.6K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $41.1K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
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