Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
Probability
42¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$22.2K
Liquidity
$13.8K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 1.6× turnover
$22.2k traded against $13.8k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $13.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 138.2h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 31¢+2.0pp
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Sports · Vol $155.7K
- 43¢0.0pp
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $832.84
- 87¢0.0pp
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 58¢0.0pp
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5
Sports · Vol $2.5K
- 65¢0.0pp
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5
Sports · Vol $28.00
- 38¢0.0pp
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Sports · Vol $17.95
- 63¢0.0pp
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5
Sports · Vol $71.43
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Sports · Vol $6.3M
- 2¢+0.1pp
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢-28.9pp
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 98¢+54.0pp
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 52¢+2.0pp
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 54¢+0.5pp
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
Sports · Vol $1.2M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Flavio Cobolli in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Zverev" if Alexander Zverev wins by 2 or more sets than Flavio Cobolli, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Cobolli." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.